香港大學民意研究計劃今日如期在《港大民意網站》(http://hkupop.hku.hk)發放有關二零零一年回顧與前瞻、市民對特區政府的滿意程度、及特首董建華的最新評分結果。《民意網站》下次發放數據的日期，已定於二零零二年一月八日星期二下午二時，屆時將會發放市民對中央及特區政府的信任程度、及對中國前途、香港前途、和一國兩制信心的最新調查結果。

由於民意研究計劃已經完成本年所有關於特區政府滿意程度及特首評分的調查，因此，《民意網站》是日發放的數據，可視作整年回顧的一個部份。下次有關中央及特區政府信任程度及各項信心的調查，可視作回顧的另一部份。

《民意網站》今日所載的最新調查，全部屬於訪員執行的隨機抽樣電話訪問，目標對象皆為十八歲或以上之操粵語的香港市民，各項調查的受訪人數都超過一千人。在九成半置信水平下，各個百分比的抽樣誤差都少於正負三個百分比，而特首評分的抽樣誤差則少於正負1.5分。所謂「九成半置信水平」，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次的結果會在正負誤差之內。

各界人士如對《民意網站》所載調查的方法有任何疑問，研究組的成員會樂於解答，但不會在現階段就調查結果作出評述。此等安排將會在人手充裕後再作檢討。《民意網站》由民意研究計劃主任鍾庭耀博士負責，與香港大學立場無關。

The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at The University of Hong Kong today releases as scheduled via its website the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.hku.hk) the result of its 2001 year-ender survey, people's satisfaction with the HKSAR Government, and Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa's latest popularity rating. The date of its next release will be January 8, 2002, Tuesday, at 2 pm. The result of its latest surveys on Hong Kong people's trust of the HKSAR and Beijing Central Governments, people's confidence in the future of China, Hong Kong, and "one country, two systems" will be released.

Because POP has already completed all its 2001 surveys on people's satisfaction with the HKSAR Government and Chief Executive's rating, the findings carried in the POP Site today can be regarded as one part of POP's year-end review. Its next release on people's trust in the local and central governments, and their confidence in future development, can be taken as another part.

All new surveys reported in the POP Site today are random telephone surveys conducted by interviewers, targeting at Cantonese speakers in Hong Kong of age 18 or above. The sample size of all surveys is over 1,000 respondents. At 95% confidence level, the sampling error of all percentages is less than plus/minus 3 percentage points, while that of Chief Executive's rating is less than plus/minus 1.5 marks. That means if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified.

Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not comment on the findings at this stage. Such an arrangement would be reviewed when more resources are available. Please note that Dr CHUNG Ting-yiu Robert, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is solely responsible for the work published in the POP Site, which does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong.

本網站乃香港大學新聞及傳媒研究中心民意研究計劃正式網站。網站一切內容乃個別學者的研究結果，與香港大學 立場無關。香港大學新聞及傳媒研究中心的民意研究計劃由民意研究計劃主任鍾庭耀博士負責。
The official website of the Public Opinion Programme, Journalism and Media Studies Centre, the University of Hong Kong. Everything in this website is the work of individual researchers, and does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr CHUNG Ting-yiu Robert, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for the work of the Public Opinion Programme at the Journalism and Media Studies Centre of the University of Hong Kong.